Posts Tagged ‘you tube’

Crazy Technology Predictions for 2020

OK, so I am not an oracle or a CIO, CTO or App. Developer, but I am a bit of a techno geek and anything that has to do with new technology does intrigue and interest me.

If you particularly think about the web technology that exists today in 2010 and look back 10 years to 2000, you are blown away by the changes and advancement. This has not only been spurred on by both hardware and software development from large companies like Apple, IBM, HP, Intel and Microsoft to name a few but also by thousands of smaller micro companies and individuals who invent things along the way, throw them out there and see if they stick. No Facebook, Twitter or YouTube ten years ago and now today we couldn’t imagine the web without them.

Just recently there were some stats published that internet usage has surpassed TV viewing and social networking as jumped past email in terms of use. These are major changes in the technology ecosystem.

So here it is. My list of “things” that will be a memory (Or 90%+ on it’s way out) in the next ten years because of the advancements mentioned above.

1. Mail – There have been already large reductions in tradional mail and these declines will continue. Infrastructure and therefore costs are too large.

2. Newspapers – The conventional paper printed on newsprint with ink. Bye Bye. Replaced with online versions deliverred on iPad’s, tablets, iPhones, smartphones and other mobile devices as well as the web. Many news outlets producing content today will also die a slow death.

3. TV News – One word. REDUNDANT. With streaming video, micro-blogging, and citizen journalism, TV news will not survive, just not fast enogh to get you the news when you want it. The rest of TV programing will be affected as well but later on that one.

4. Home phones – These will be made redundant by wireless mobile devices and internet protocol calling. Video conferencing is now all over the web so it will also migrate more fully to wireless.

5. Console Video Games – As bandwidth opens up to residences and more computing and development moves to the cloud. Say good bye to your XBOX, PS3 and Wii. Too slow and costly compared to what will be delivered through the web.

That’s it. Not conclusive but the best SWAG I can put into this blog. And no I didn’t use the “Magic 8 ball”.

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